"We study natural stupidity rather than artificial intelligence"
Amos Tversky
Tversky--now deceased--was a partner with Daniel Kahneman, who together wrote some of the most influential papers on the processes of decision making under uncertainty.(*)If you're a project manager or business manager, then you have that task routinely. If you've not read at least the seminal work "Judgment Under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases" you're really not informed. [Science, New Series, Vol. 185, No. 4157. (Sep. 27, 1974)]
My suggestion: Get informed.
You've really no excuse for putting it off.
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(*)Kahneman won a Nobel for their work; Tversky was deceased at the time of the award which only goes to living recipients. Kahneman is the author of "Thinking Slow and Fast", a book derived from their work.
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